fat tail
likeliness
likelihood
chance
overlay
ask for
invite
probability
dicey
dodgy
well
chancy
chanceful
easily
fifty-fifty
likely
ought to
ought
chi-square distribution
long odds
luck of the draw
gamble
fair chance
sporting chance
overchance
unlikelihood
unlikeliness
credence
liability
even chance
statistical significance
probabilistics
quasilikelihood
random
God forbid
risk
density
theoretical probability
experimental probability
black swan
mathematical
go horribly right
doubtful
frothy
aggressive
long
tail event
dry
overprediction
winnability
speculation
coin toss
tip
resemblance
handicap
odds
unlikely
joint probability
overspeculation
snowball's chance in hell
improbability
facilitate
crapshoot
bad luck
dependent
mishap
mischance
rouf
temperamental
necessarily
erratic
black swan event
toss-up
misprognostication
academic
on
evs
tail risk
conditional probability
fortune
contingent probability
prevision
luck
predicting
weird
overestimate
inverisimilitude
overestimation
overrating

English words for 'The relatively high probability of a relatively extreme outcome.'

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