misprediction
off target
misforecast
misprognosticate
misconclusion
misprobe
malobservation
misinterpretation
misprognostication
miscluster
misplot
misinformedness
misanalysis
misreckoning
misinference
reverse jinx
misappraisal
erroneous belief
black swan fallacy
error
mispredictor
inaccuracy
overprediction
under the impression
misinfer
famous last words
miscatch
unlikelihood
unlikeliness
misrepute
misclaim
misinformational
misfigure
counterpredictive
put two and two together and make five
inaccurateness
Zohnerism
reductio ad absurdum
too
let-down
misimputation
mispredict
misfact
overpresumption
erroneity
misinfo
pervert
suppressio veri
clear up
rush to judgement